---
name: cash-flow-forecast-narrative
description: Turn a cash flow forecast into a clear narrative about runway, timing, and the moments that need attention. Use this skill whenever a user has cash flow projections that need explaining, wants a runway analysis, a cash forecast writeup, or says 'explain our cash flow', 'how long is our runway', or 'write up the cash forecast'. Trigger whenever cash projections need to become a clear story about liquidity and timing.
---

# Cash Flow Forecast Narrative

## What this does and why it matters
Profit is an opinion; cash is a fact, and businesses fail from running out of it even while profitable. This skill turns a cash flow forecast into a plain narrative about runway, the timing of inflows and outflows, and the specific moments that need attention, so leadership manages liquidity deliberately instead of being surprised by a tight month.

## Inputs to gather
1. The cash flow projection (inflows and outflows by period) or the inputs to describe it.
2. The starting cash position.
3. Known large or lumpy items (a big receivable, a tax payment, payroll timing).
4. Any financing available (line of credit, upcoming raise).

## Method

### 1. State the runway clearly
If cash is finite, say how many months it lasts at the current trajectory. Runway is the single number leadership most needs, so lead with it.

### 2. Walk the timing, not just the totals
Cash problems are timing problems. Highlight the periods where the balance dips lowest, and the lumpy inflows and outflows that drive them, since a healthy annual picture can still hide a dangerous month.

### 3. Flag the pinch points
Name the specific weeks or months that need attention and why, so they can be managed in advance (accelerate a receivable, delay a discretionary outflow, draw on credit).

### 4. Distinguish operating from financing cash
Separate cash generated by the business from cash raised or borrowed, since relying on financing to stay afloat is a different situation than generating surplus.

### 5. Note the assumptions and sensitivities
What the forecast assumes about collections and timing, and what happens if a key inflow slips.

## Output format
ALWAYS use:

# Cash Flow Narrative: [Period]
## Runway and headline (starting cash, months of runway)
## Timing picture (low points and what drives them)
## Pinch points to manage (period | issue | possible action)
## Operating vs financing cash
## Key assumptions and sensitivities

## Anti-patterns to avoid
- Reporting only annual totals and missing the dangerous month.
- Conflating operating cash with financing inflows.
- No runway figure when cash is finite.
- Presenting the forecast as certain with no sensitivities.

## Guardrails
This explains projections the user provides; it is not financial advice, a guarantee of future cash, or a financing recommendation. Never invent figures. Flag assumptions clearly and note that actual timing (especially collections) can vary.

## Example
A forecast narrative leads with "roughly 7 months of runway", flags a March dip driven by an annual insurance payment landing near payroll, and recommends timing a large receivable ahead of it, with collections assumptions stated.